Matheus Scheffel vs Mike Bencic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record1-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight220 lbs
CM SystemTeamTBD
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike Bencic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508
If they win+26→ 1520
If they lose-22→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelMike Bencic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Bencic58%
Matheus Scheffel 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Bencic a 58% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matheus Scheffel's way (46%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1494, a 27-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mike Bencic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.