Matheus Scheffel vs Mike Polchlopek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight265 lbs
CM SystemTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
If they win+24→ 1539
If they lose-24→ 1491
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelMike Polchlopek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Polchlopek60%
Matheus Scheffel 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Polchlopek a 60% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matheus Scheffel's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1515), separated by just 6 points.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.