Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Mostapha Al Turk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record6-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight235 lbs
CM SystemTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mostapha Al Turk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
Mostapha Al TurkNow 1467
If they win+28→ 1495
If they lose-20→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
1.36
36%
Strike accuracy
19%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
47%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelMostapha Al Turk
145015001550160020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel68%
Mostapha Al Turk 32%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 68% favorite over Mostapha Al Turk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1467, a 54-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mostapha Al Turk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mostapha Al Turk 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.