Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Nate Schroeder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record11-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight230 lbs
CM SystemTeamTBD

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nate Schroeder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508
Nate SchroederNow 1494
If they win+17→ 1511
If they lose-15→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelNate Schroeder
1500155016002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (91%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel60%
Nate Schroeder 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 60% favorite over Nate Schroeder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1494, a 27-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Nate Schroeder enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nate Schroeder 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.