Matheus Scheffel vs Rony Sefo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record0-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight242 lbs
CM SystemTeamRay Sefo Fight Academy
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rony Sefo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
If they win+28→ 1486
If they lose-20→ 1438
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelRony Sefo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel61%
Rony Sefo 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 61% favorite over Rony Sefo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1458, a 63-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Rony Sefo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.