Combat Edge Intelligence

Matheus Scheffel vs Scott Bessac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record4-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight259 lbs
CM SystemTeamLion's Den

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Scott Bessac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
Scott BessacNow 1457
If they win+19→ 1476
If they lose-13→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matheus ScheffelScott Bessac
140014501500155016001995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
5 (29%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel59%
Scott Bessac 41%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 59% favorite over Scott Bessac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1457, a 64-point edge.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Scott Bessac enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Scott Bessac 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.