Matheus Scheffel vs Stefan Leko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record0-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight218 lbs
CM SystemTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Stefan Leko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1530
If they lose-15→ 1506
If they win+29→ 1471
If they lose-19→ 1423
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelStefan Leko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel75%
Stefan Leko 25%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 75% favorite over Stefan Leko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1442, a 79-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Stefan Leko enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.