Matheus Scheffel vs Valentijn Overeem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record30-32-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
262 lbsWeight234 lbs
CM SystemTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Valentijn Overeem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
If they win+14→ 1475
If they lose-10→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matheus ScheffelValentijn Overeem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel78%
Valentijn Overeem 22%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 78% favorite over Valentijn Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1461, a 60-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Valentijn Overeem enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Valentijn Overeem 97%.
Matheus Scheffel and Valentijn Overeem share 1 common opponent: Ante Delija.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.