Matt Andersen vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-1Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
245 lbsWeight242 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1480 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt AndersenPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani62%
Matt Andersen 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 62% favorite over Matt Andersen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1532), separated by just 10 points.
Matt Andersen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Andersen finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.