Matt Arroyo vs Rayan Atmani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Tampa SouthTeamCage Winner DZ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt ArroyoRayan Atmani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Arroyo55%
Rayan Atmani 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Arroyo a 55% favorite over Rayan Atmani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rayan Atmani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1539), separated by just 1 points.
Matt Arroyo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.