Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Bessette vs Robert Ruchała

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-10-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Underdog Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamGrappling Krakow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt BessetteNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Robert RuchałaNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
41%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
59%
Strike defense
57%
0.64
Takedown avg.
2
29%
Takedown accuracy
33%
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0.32
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matt BessetteRobert Ruchała
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
9 (36%)
Submission
3 (27%)
8 (32%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Ruchała70%
Matt Bessette 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Ruchała a 70% favorite over Matt Bessette in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1665), separated by just 2 points.

Robert Ruchała enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Bessette finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Robert Ruchała 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.