Matt Grice vs Shane Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
R-1 MMATeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
If they win+24→ 1699
If they lose-24→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt GriceShane Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Collins70%
Matt Grice 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Collins a 70% favorite over Matt Grice in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.
Shane Collins enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Matt Grice finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shane Collins 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.