Matt Hughes vs Sean Brady
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
45-9-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
HIT SquadTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1819
If they lose-12→ 1795
If they win+16→ 1823
If they lose-16→ 1791
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt HughesSean Brady
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Brady78%
Matt Hughes 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Brady a 78% favorite over Matt Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hughes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1807 vs 1807), separated by just 0 points.
Matt Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Hughes finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.