Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Lindland vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-9-0Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team QuestTeamUZB Patriot

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt LindlandNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.46
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
52%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
52%
Strike defense
49%
3.46
Takedown avg.
0.75
50%
Takedown accuracy
67%
61%
Takedown defense
33%
1.15
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matt LindlandNursulton Ruziboev
1700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
6 (29%)
Submission
21 (57%)
6 (29%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Nursulton Ruziboev79%
Matt Lindland 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 79% favorite over Matt Lindland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Lindland's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1727), separated by just 2 points.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Matt Lindland finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.