Matt Ricehouse vs Mohammad Fahmi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rodrigo Vaghi Jiu-JitsuTeamSpecial Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt RicehouseMohammad Fahmi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Fahmi66%
Matt Ricehouse 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 66% favorite over Matt Ricehouse in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Ricehouse's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.
Matt Ricehouse enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Ricehouse finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Fahmi 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.