Combat Edge Intelligence

Matteo Martignoni vs Ning Guangyou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record5-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'5"
-Reach64.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMATeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Matteo Martignoni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ning Guangyou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matteo MartignoniNow 1512
If they win+22→ 1534
If they lose-26→ 1486
Ning GuangyouNow 1483
If they win+26→ 1509
If they lose-22→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.66
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Matteo MartignoniNing Guangyou
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Matteo Martignoni66%
Ning Guangyou 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 66% favorite over Ning Guangyou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Matteo Martignoni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1512 to 1483, a 29-point edge.

Ning Guangyou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matteo Martignoni finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ning Guangyou 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.