Matteo Martignoni vs Rocky Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record4-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMATeamBali MMA
What's at stake
Matteo Martignoni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Rocky Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1531
If they lose-29→ 1483
If they win+20→ 1452
If they lose-12→ 1420
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matteo MartignoniRocky Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matteo Martignoni76%
Rocky Lee 24%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 76% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Matteo Martignoni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1512 to 1432, a 80-point edge.
Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matteo Martignoni finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rocky Lee 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.