Matteo Martignoni vs Rolando Dy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record14-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMATeamBiagtan Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1537
If they lose-23→ 1489
If they win+12→ 1532
If they lose-12→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matteo MartignoniRolando Dy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matteo Martignoni60%
Rolando Dy 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 60% favorite over Rolando Dy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rolando Dy's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1520), separated by just 8 points.
Rolando Dy enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matteo Martignoni finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Dy 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.