Matthew O'Rourke vs Ron Fields
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record30-33-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
-Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Team Ryano WaterfordTeamKilling Fields Fighting
What's at stake
Ron Fields is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matthew O'Rourke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
If they win+11→ 1500
If they lose-13→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matthew O'RourkeRon Fields
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke66%
Ron Fields 34%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 66% favorite over Ron Fields in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ron Fields's way (47%).
Ron Fields holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1471, a 18-point edge.
Ron Fields 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.