Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew Riddle vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record15-8-0
TBDDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach73"
TBDWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
55%
Strike defense
44%
3.51
Takedown avg.
0.76
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
89%
Takedown defense
61%
0.54
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matthew RiddleTakashi Sato
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle62%
Takashi Sato 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 62% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1579), separated by just 4 points.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.