Maurício Rua vs Uran Satybaldiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maurício RuaUran Satybaldiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Uran Satybaldiev72%
Maurício Rua 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Uran Satybaldiev a 72% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurício Rua's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1686), separated by just 5 points.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maurício Rua finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.
Uran Satybaldiev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.