Max Gimenis vs Mike Hayes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record19-12-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
238 lbsWeight212 lbs
Culture of Jiu-JitsuTeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Max GimenisMike Hayes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Gimenis70%
Mike Hayes 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Gimenis a 70% favorite over Mike Hayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.
Max Gimenis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mike Hayes 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.