Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Gimenis vs Pedro Otavio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record19-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
238 lbsWeight243 lbs
Culture of Jiu-JitsuTeamAcademia Budokan Luta Livre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Max GimenisNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Pedro OtavioNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
9.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Max GimenisPedro Otavio
15001550160020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
2 (33%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Gimenis66%
Pedro Otavio 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Gimenis a 66% favorite over Pedro Otavio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Otavio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

Max Gimenis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Otavio 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.