Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Gimenis vs Timothy Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record18-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach77.50
238 lbsWeight266 lbs
Culture of Jiu-JitsuTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Max GimenisNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Timothy JohnsonNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
9.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
47%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
24%
0%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Max GimenisTimothy Johnson
1500155016002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
2 (33%)
Submission
3 (17%)
1 (17%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Gimenis59%
Timothy Johnson 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Gimenis a 59% favorite over Timothy Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Timothy Johnson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.

Max Gimenis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Timothy Johnson 72%.

Timothy Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.