Mehdi Baghdad vs Tim Wilde
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
40,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Black HouseTeamRenegade MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mehdi BaghdadTim Wilde
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mehdi Baghdad and Tim Wilde within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.
Tim Wilde enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mehdi Baghdad finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.