Mehdi Saadi vs Pablo Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
140 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mehdi SaadiPablo Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mehdi Saadi70%
Pablo Garza 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Saadi a 70% favorite over Pablo Garza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1606), separated by just 2 points.
Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mehdi Saadi finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.