Melissa Gatto vs Roxanne Modafferi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-2Record25-20-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
MSPTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1594
If they lose-25→ 1546
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melissa GattoRoxanne Modafferi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melissa Gatto70%
Roxanne Modafferi 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 70% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1559), separated by just 12 points.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Melissa Gatto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.
Melissa Gatto and Roxanne Modafferi share 1 common opponent: Sijara Eubanks.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.