Combat Edge Intelligence

Melquizael Costa vs Victor Hugo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Hugo
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Victor Hugo

“STRIKER”

25-5-0BantamweightUFC

1680Good

Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record25-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"HeightTBD
71"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao EmilioTeamIron Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melquizael CostaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Victor HugoNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
55%
Strike defense
57%
2
Takedown avg.
0.81
41%
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
74%
1.09
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Melquizael CostaVictor Hugo
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
8 (31%)
Submission
10 (40%)
9 (35%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Melquizael Costa60%
Victor Hugo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 60% favorite over Victor Hugo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1680), separated by just 2 points.

Melquizael Costa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Victor Hugo 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.