Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Yoshinori Horie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Glendale Fighting ClubTeamAlliance-Square
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melsik BaghdasaryanYoshinori Horie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melsik Baghdasaryan60%
Yoshinori Horie 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Melsik Baghdasaryan a 60% favorite over Yoshinori Horie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoshinori Horie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.
Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Melsik Baghdasaryan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.