Combat Edge Intelligence

Melvin Guillard vs Nate Mohr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Melvin Guillard
us

Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average
Nate Mohr
us

Nate Mohr

9-7-0LightweightTeam Curran MMA

1524Average

Tale of the tape

32-22-2Record9-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamTeam Curran

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Nate MohrNow 1524
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
41%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
66%
Strike defense
75%
1.30
Takedown avg.
0.45
64%
Takedown accuracy
50%
61%
Takedown defense
71%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Melvin GuillardNate Mohr
150015502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

21 (66%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
2 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (28%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Mohr63%
Melvin Guillard 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Mohr a 63% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1524), separated by just 3 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Melvin Guillard finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nate Mohr 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.