Combat Edge Intelligence

Melvin Manhoef vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Manhoef
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Melvin Manhoef

“No Mercy”

32-17-1Light HeavyweightGanryujima

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

32-17-1Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Mike's GymTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melvin ManhoefNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Tyson PedroNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Melvin ManhoefTyson Pedro
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

29 (91%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
3 (9%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Pedro70%
Melvin Manhoef 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Pedro a 70% favorite over Melvin Manhoef in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Manhoef's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1614), separated by just 3 points.

Melvin Manhoef enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Melvin Manhoef finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.