Combat Edge Intelligence

Mia Grawe vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mia Grawe
us

Mia Grawe

“Raw”

3-0-0FlyweightPFL

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
65"ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
W4R Training CenterTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

Pedro Nobre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mia Grawe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mia GraweNow 1572
If they win+25→ 1597
If they lose-23→ 1549
Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+11→ 1598
If they lose-13→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mia GrawePedro Nobre
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
1 (33%)
Submission
6 (27%)
1 (33%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Mia Grawe70%
Pedro Nobre 30%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Mia Grawe a 70% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Nobre's way (48%).

Pedro Nobre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1587 to 1572, a 15-point edge.

Mia Grawe enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mia Grawe finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.