Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dubois vs Richard Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-13-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70"Reach73,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Strike AcademyTeamVT1 Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DuboisNow 1518
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
Richard WalshNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Michael DuboisRichard Walsh
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
9 (60%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dubois63%
Richard Walsh 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 63% favorite over Richard Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1508), separated by just 10 points.

Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Richard Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Dubois finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Richard Walsh 56%.

Richard Walsh carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.