Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dufort vs Pat Audinwood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Dufort
ca

Michael Dufort

“The Canadian Badass”

13-5-0LightweightPFL

1654Good
Pat Audinwood
us

Pat Audinwood

“Awesomely Awesome”

11-2-1LightweightLFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record11-2-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74.00"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
H2O MMATeamTeam Bombsquad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DufortNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Pat AudinwoodNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.17
TBD
Strike accuracy
13%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael DufortPat Audinwood
160016501700201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
10 (77%)
Submission
6 (55%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dufort53%
Pat Audinwood 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dufort a 53% favorite over Pat Audinwood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Dufort enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pat Audinwood enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Dufort finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Pat Audinwood 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.