Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dufort vs Spencer Fisher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Dufort
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Michael Dufort

“The Canadian Badass”

13-5-0LightweightPFL

1654Good

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record24-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74.00"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
H2O MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DufortNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Spencer FisherNow 1654
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Michael DufortSpencer Fisher
160016501700201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
10 (77%)
Submission
9 (38%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dufort66%
Spencer Fisher 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dufort a 66% favorite over Spencer Fisher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.

Michael Dufort enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Michael Dufort finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.