Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dufort vs TJ Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Dufort
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Michael Dufort

“The Canadian Badass”

13-5-0LightweightPFL

1654Good

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74.00"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
H2O MMATeamFit Plus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DufortNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
TJ GrantNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
37%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Michael DufortTJ Grant
155016001650170020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
10 (77%)
Submission
13 (62%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Michael Dufort and TJ Grant within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Dufort enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Michael Dufort finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.