Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael McDonald vs Victor Henry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Henry
us

Victor Henry

“La Mangosta”

25-7-0BantamweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Last Stand Fight TeamTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael McDonaldNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
Victor HenryNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
43%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
57%
Strike defense
48%
1.09
Takedown avg.
1.04
67%
Takedown accuracy
43%
52%
Takedown defense
81%
1.45
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Michael McDonaldVictor Henry
17001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
6 (32%)
Submission
8 (32%)
3 (16%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael McDonald69%
Victor Henry 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 69% favorite over Victor Henry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1729), separated by just 0 points.

Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.

Michael McDonald and Victor Henry share 1 common opponent: Masanori Kanehara.

Michael McDonald carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Rear Naked Choke · 2016
Masanori Kanehara
WinTKO (punches) · 2020