Combat Edge Intelligence

Michal Martínek vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
80"Reach78″
248 lbsWeight247 lbs
Reinders MMATeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michal MartínekNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michal MartínekRaphael Pessoa
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (31%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Michal Martínek68%
Raphael Pessoa 32%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Michal Martínek a 68% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1566), separated by just 6 points.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Michal Martínek finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Michal Martínek carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.