Combat Edge Intelligence

Michal Martínek vs Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record8-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
80"ReachTBD
248 lbsWeight237 lbs
Reinders MMATeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michal MartínekNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Vinicius Kappke de QueirozNow 1565
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.10
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
70%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Michal MartínekVinicius Kappke de Queiroz
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Michal Martínek63%
Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Michal Martínek a 63% favorite over Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1565), separated by just 7 points.

Michal Martínek finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.