Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Prazeres vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-6-0Record22-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach--
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Coalizao Fight TeamTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1754
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
0
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
3.94
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
48%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.61
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Michel PrazeresSaygid Izagakhmaev
175018002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
11 (41%)
Submission
13 (59%)
15 (56%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Saygid Izagakhmaev73%
Michel Prazeres 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 73% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1754), separated by just 1 points.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Prazeres finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.