Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs Ravena Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record7-4-1
StrawweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReach65"
115 lbsWeight133 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLife MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michelle Waterson-GomezRavena Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ravena Oliveira67%
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 33%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ravena Oliveira a 67% favorite over Michelle Waterson-Gomez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michelle Waterson-Gomez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1573), separated by just 9 points.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ravena Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ravena Oliveira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.