Combat Edge Intelligence

Michihiro Omigawa vs Morgan Charrière

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-15-1Record21-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Neo Judo AcademyTeamTeam Chapa Quente

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michihiro OmigawaNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Morgan CharrièreNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
64%
Strike defense
54%
1.19
Takedown avg.
2.11
37%
Takedown accuracy
47%
49%
Takedown defense
83%
1.51
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Michihiro OmigawaMorgan Charrière
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
5 (26%)
Submission
3 (14%)
9 (47%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Morgan Charrière63%
Michihiro Omigawa 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Charrière a 63% favorite over Michihiro Omigawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michihiro Omigawa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1644), separated by just 0 points.

Michihiro Omigawa finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.