Combat Edge Intelligence

Mickael Lebout vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Wilde

Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

23-12-2Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
ObyfightTeamRenegade MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mickael LeboutNow 1605
If they win+12→ 1617
If they lose-12→ 1593
Tim WildeNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mickael LeboutTim Wilde
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
8 (35%)
Submission
1 (6%)
13 (57%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mickael Lebout and Tim Wilde within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1603), separated by just 2 points.

Mickael Lebout finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.