Miguel Baeza vs Ronald Paradeiser
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
MMA MastersTeamOctagon Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miguel BaezaRonald Paradeiser
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronald Paradeiser63%
Miguel Baeza 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Paradeiser a 63% favorite over Miguel Baeza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miguel Baeza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Miguel Baeza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ronald Paradeiser enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Miguel Baeza finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Paradeiser 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.