Mike Budnik vs Rolando Bedoya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Triton Fight CenterTeamChute Boxe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike BudnikRolando Bedoya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rolando Bedoya62%
Mike Budnik 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rolando Bedoya a 62% favorite over Mike Budnik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1622), separated by just 6 points.
Mike Budnik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mike Budnik finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.