Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Campbell vs Vicente Vargas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Tri-Force MMATeamTeam Ludus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike CampbellNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Vicente VargasNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
5.26
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike CampbellVicente Vargas
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
1 (8%)
Submission
5 (22%)
5 (38%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Vicente Vargas60%
Mike Campbell 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Vargas a 60% favorite over Mike Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Campbell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1642), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Campbell enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mike Campbell finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.