Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Graves vs Omran Chaaban

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Omran Chaaban
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Omran Chaaban

“The Lebanese Gorilla”

10-1-0WelterweightPFL

1684Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-2Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
71" Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam KF Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike GravesNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Omran ChaabanNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
4.80
Takedown avg.
TBD
52%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.40
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike GravesOmran Chaaban
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (27%)
Submission
4 (40%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Omran Chaaban59%
Mike Graves 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Omran Chaaban a 59% favorite over Mike Graves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.

Mike Graves enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Omran Chaaban enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Mike Graves finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Omran Chaaban 80%.

Omran Chaaban carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.