Mike Hayes vs Yorgan De Castro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-12-2Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
212 lbsWeight265 lbs
Ring Demon Jiu-JitsuTeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike HayesYorgan De Castro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mike Hayes and Yorgan De Castro within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.
Mike Hayes finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.