Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Lullo vs Roberto Mario Ionescu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record3-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamCircus Arena

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike LulloNow 1514
If they win+25→ 1539
If they lose-23→ 1491
Roberto Mario IonescuNow 1524
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-25→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
1.18
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.59
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike LulloRoberto Mario Ionescu
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
6 (75%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto Mario Ionescu53%
Mike Lullo 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Mario Ionescu a 53% favorite over Mike Lullo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1514 vs 1524), separated by just 10 points.

Mike Lullo finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Mario Ionescu 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.