Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Massenzio vs Rousimar Palhares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record19-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Rousimar Palhares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike Massenzio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike MassenzioNow 1529
If they win+17→ 1546
If they lose-15→ 1514
Rousimar PalharesNow 1544
If they win+11→ 1555
If they lose-13→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
54%
Strike defense
60%
2.74
Takedown avg.
3.93
24%
Takedown accuracy
46%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.37
Submission avg.
4.11

Trajectory

Mike MassenzioRousimar Palhares
15501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (46%)
Submission
16 (84%)
5 (38%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Massenzio52%
Rousimar Palhares 48%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Massenzio a 52% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rousimar Palhares's way (48%).

Rousimar Palhares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1544 to 1529, a 15-point edge.

Mike Massenzio enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mike Massenzio finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.